If youâve been blissfully collecting points and miles without paying attention to Capitol Hill, itâs time to wake up. Legislation that could fundamentally change credit card rewards just got reintroduced in Congress, and the founder of The Points Guy is calling it âun-American.â
Let me break down whatâs happening, why it matters for your points strategy, and what you can do about it.
What Just Happened?
The Credit Card Competition Act (CCCA) has been reintroduced in Congress. Meanwhile, a federal judge just upheld Illinoisâs Interchange Fee Prohibition Act. Together, these represent the biggest legislative threat to credit card rewards in decades.
Hereâs the TL;DR:
- Credit Card Competition Act: Forces card issuers to put two unaffiliated payment networks on every credit card, letting merchants choose the cheaper one
- Illinois Interchange Fee Prohibition Act: Bans swipe fees on taxes and tips (other states are considering similar laws)
- The bottom line: Less interchange fee revenue = potentially fewer rewards for you
Why This Threatens Your Points
To understand the threat, you need to understand where your points actually come from.
How Credit Card Rewards Really Work
When you swipe your Chase Sapphire Reserve for a $100 dinner, hereâs what happens:
- The restaurant pays about 2-3.5% in interchange fees (~$3)
- That fee gets split between Visa/Mastercard, Chase, and the rewards program
- Chase gives you 3x points (worth ~$0.05 each, or $1.50) from their cut
- The airline or hotel partner eventually gets paid when you redeem
The math works because interchange fees fund the rewards. Period.
What Changes Under the CCCA
If the Credit Card Competition Act passes:
- Every credit card must have two payment networks (e.g., Visa + a smaller network)
- Merchants can route transactions through whichever network charges less
- Smaller networks typically charge 1% or less in fees
- Less fee revenue = less money to fund your rewards
Banks wonât take the hitâyou will. Theyâll either:
- Cut earning rates (3x becomes 2x or 1.5x)
- Increase annual fees (CSR could go even higher than $550)
- Devalue redemptions (points worth less when you use them)
- Eliminate perks (bye bye Priority Pass, lounge access, travel credits)
Brian Kellyâs âExistential Crisisâ Warning
The Points Guy founder Brian Kelly isnât mincing words. In an interview with Fortune this week, he said:
âThere is an existential crisis happening around the rewards and credit card space. I donât think enough people realize the ramifications of these laws.â
Kelly also called the legislation âun-Americanâ:
âWeâre going to allow a retailer to decide how a customer pays for a purchase with their own money? If retailers want people to use their debit card, then they should incentivize it.â
Heâs right. This isnât about protecting consumersâitâs about shifting costs from merchants to cardholders.
The Numbers Are Staggering
Letâs put this in perspective:
- Americans will issue or redeem $26 billion in points this year
- Delta alone made $8.2 billion from its Amex partnership in 2025 (up 11%)
- There are hundreds of billions in unredeemed points sitting in accounts
That $8.2 billion from Delta? It helps fund SkyMiles, award seat availability, and the premium cabin experience. Cut that revenue stream and watch what happens to your redemption options.
The Illinois Law: Death by a Thousand Cuts
Even if the federal CCCA fails, state laws are chipping away at interchange fees. Illinois now bans swipe fees on taxes and tips, which means:
- If you tip $20 on a credit card, no interchange fee on that portion
- Restaurants and bars lose millions in processing fees theyâd otherwise pay
- Banks lose revenue theyâd otherwise use for rewards
- Other states are watchingâexpect copycat legislation
This âdeath by a thousand cutsâ approach could accomplish what federal legislation canât.
What Could Actually Happen to Rewards?
Let me paint a realistic picture based on historical precedent:
The Durbin Amendment Precedent
In 2010, the Durbin Amendment capped debit card interchange fees. The result?
- Banks eliminated debit card rewards programs almost overnight
- Free checking accounts became rare
- Monthly fees appeared where they didnât exist
Credit card rewards could follow the same pattern.
Best-Case Scenario
The CCCA doesnât pass, or passes with exemptions for premium cards:
- Status quo mostly maintained
- Some networks might slightly reduce rewards on lower-tier cards
- Premium cards (CSR, Platinum, etc.) protected
Worst-Case Scenario
Full CCCA implementation with no exemptions:
- Earning rates slashed 30-50% across the board
- Annual fees increase to maintain some rewards
- Sign-up bonuses shrink from 60-100K to 30-40K
- Transfer bonuses become rare
- Airline/hotel co-brand cards become nearly worthless
Most Likely Scenario
Something in between:
- Entry-level cards lose most rewards
- Premium cards survive but become more expensive
- Travel cards shift to non-points perks (lounges, credits, status)
- Business cards may be exempt (they often are from regulation)
What You Should Do Right Now
Iâm not saying panicâbut I am saying prepare.
1. Earn Points Aggressively Now
If there was ever a time to hit sign-up bonuses and maximize earning, itâs now. Get those points while the getting is good:
- Apply for cards youâve been considering (following 5/24 rules)
- Stack bonuses during transfer promos (like the current Chase 40% Virgin Atlantic bonus)
- Use shopping portals for extra earning (guide here)
2. Donât Hoard Points Forever
Points devaluations happen constantly even without legislation. The threat of regulatory changes is another reason to:
- Book aspirational trips now rather than âsomedayâ
- Transfer points when bonuses appear
- Use points for high-value redemptions while you can
Check our points valuation guide to make sure youâre getting good value.
3. Diversify Your Points Portfolio
Donât put all your eggs in one basket:
- Multiple transferable currencies (Chase, Amex, Capital One, Bilt)
- Airline/hotel direct earning in case transfer values tank
- Cash back as backup on some cards
4. Consider Business Cards
Business cards have historically been exempt from consumer regulations. If you have a legitimate business (even a side hustle counts):
- Best business credit cards
- Ink cards for Chase points
- Amex Business Gold for dining/advertising
5. Make Your Voice Heard
This isnât just about complaining online. Contact your representatives:
- Call your senators and express concern about the CCCA
- Explain the real impact: Youâd lose valuable benefits youâve earned
- Note the job impact: The travel industry employs millions
The legislation is positioned as âpro-consumerâ but actually shifts costs to cardholders while merchants pocket the savings.
The Counterargument (And Why Itâs Flawed)
To be fair, hereâs the case FOR these laws:
- Interchange fees are among the highest in the world
- Small businesses pay billions in processing fees
- Those costs get passed to all consumers (even non-card users)
- Competition could lower prices
Hereâs why that logic fails for rewards cardholders:
- Merchants wonât lower pricesâtheyâll pocket the savings
- Debit card rewards died after Durbinâno consumer benefit materialized
- Low-income consumers actually benefit from rewards cards (cash back, fraud protection)
- The âcross-subsidyâ argument ignores that card users already pay annual fees
Timeline and What to Watch
The CCCA has been introduced before and failed. But this time feels different:
- Bipartisan support (rare in todayâs Congress)
- Major merchant lobbying (Walmart, Target backing it)
- State-level momentum (Illinois law could embolden others)
Key dates to watch:
- Committee hearings: Likely in Q2 2026
- Floor votes: If it advances, possibly by year-end
- Implementation: If passed, 12-18 months before effects
My Take
Look, Iâve built my entire travel life around points and miles. I havenât paid for a flight or hotel in years because I learned to maximize rewards. The thought of that ecosystem collapsing is genuinely concerning.
But hereâs my honest assessment:
The full CCCA probably wonât pass in its current form. Banks and card networks have enormous lobbying power. Premium cards will likely get exemptions even if something passes.
However, the trajectory is concerning. Between federal attempts and state-level laws, rewards will likely face some erosion over the next 3-5 years.
The smart move: Earn aggressively now, redeem thoughtfully, and donât let points sit unused for years waiting for the âperfectâ redemption that may never come.
Key Takeaways
Hereâs what you need to remember:
- The Credit Card Competition Act could slash rewards by letting merchants choose cheaper payment networks
- Illinoisâs law banning fees on taxes/tips is a template other states may follow
- Brian Kelly calls it âan existential crisisâ for rewardsâand heâs not exaggerating
- Your action items: Earn points now, redeem regularly, diversify currencies, consider business cards
- Timeline: Nothing immediate, but the next 2-3 years could bring significant changes
The points game has evolved constantly since I started. Devaluations come, sweet spots disappear, new cards emerge. This legislation is a bigger threat than usual, but travel hackers adapt.
Stay informed, stay flexible, and keep earning while you can.
What do you think about the Credit Card Competition Act? Are you changing your points strategy? Drop a comment below.
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